Election Analysis

Looking over the General Assembly results, here are some key points of interest. In the NC Senate, 15 candidates ran unopposed (11 Republicans and 3 Democrats). There would have been two more if not for a Libertarian candidate in districts 20 and 44. (Thank you, Barbara Howe and Nick Haag). Of the contested races, only 4 were decided by 10% or less of the vote. In other words, only 8% of the state Senate races were competitive.

In the House, 54 candidates ran unopposed (37 Democrats and 17 Republicans), one ran only against a write-in, and 9 races were decided by 10% or less of the vote. In other words, only 7.5% of the state House races were competitive.

The Democrats and their sycophants love to moan about how the Republicans are destroying democracy, yet they lacked the courage to challenge the Republicans in 28 legislative races.

In a few of the competitive races, the Libertarian vote “covered the spread” between the Democrat and Republican. In House 49 David Ulmer got 4.15% and the incumbent Republican lost by 1.48%. Over in House 36 Brian Irving got 4.25% and the incumbent Republican won by only 2.77%.

In Senate 17 Susan Hogarth got 4.24% and the incumbent Republican won by only 0.85%. In Senate 15 Brad Hessel came in just under the spread. He got 4.31% and the incumbent Republican won by 4.32%

For comparison, in 2014 there were 18 unopposed races in the Senate and 57 in the House. Three Senate and 21 House seats were unopposed in both 2014 and 2016: Senate 32, 35, and 43, and House 4, 12, 14, 19, 21, 24, 29, 39, 42, 43, 45, 47, 48, 99, 100, 102, 107, 108, 110, 111, and 114.

If you look at a map, you’ll note how the safe districts are clustered. Another point is that both establishment parties benefit nearly equally.

Keep in mind that the district lines a liable to change for the 2018 election. The legislature is contesting a court ruling that some of these districts are unconstitutional and may be forced to redraw the lines.

Nomination Resignation

I reluctantly sent this letter to the State and Wake County Board of Election today:

“I hereby resign my nomination as the Libertarian Party candidate for the North Carolina House of Representatives in District 36. I will be moving out of the distinct and therefore ineligible to serve.”

“I understand that since the ballots are already being printed my name will still appear. I have notified the Libertarian Party of Wake County of this resignation and their authority to nominate a replacement candidate under GS 163-114.”

My wife and I have been considering a move for some time, but I didn’t plan on doing this now. A recent accident she had made a move a higher priority. Basically, we’re getting too old to do steps. The current “sellers”s housing market made it an opportune time to put our townhouse on the market.

We’ll miss this part of Cary (and being so close to Trader Joe’s) but we’re not going far. We’re moving to Western Cary, nearer our grandchildren.

HB2 Hobgoblin

“The whole aim of practical politics is to keep the populace alarmed (and hence clamorous to be led to safety) by menacing it with an endless series of hobgoblins, all of them imaginary.”
– H. L. Mencken

You can see this tactic at work in the faux controversy over House Bill 2. Former NC Gov. Jim Martin, a Republican, made some cogent observations on the issue in a recent News & Observer op-ed “HB 2: Who Did This to Us? We Did.

He writes that “some young people have great difficulty dealing with their anatomy and hormones, in ways most of us could never begin to understand..”

On the other hand, he says “some people have had terrible experiences with sexual predators, and are fearful of laws that could make it easier for one to slip into girls’ locker rooms.”

But neither side wants to listen to the other. Nor do they need to, because Democrats and Republicans are safely ensconced in gerrymandered districts and have no need to appeal to moderates who have fled their respective parties.

Read Martin’s op-ed here.

Libertarians Say Repeal HB2

The Libertarian Party has joined the growing list of organizations calling for the repeal of House Bill 2.

“The state has no authority to determine gender,” the unanimous resolution states. HB 2 also “unduly intrudes state authority into local decision-making and unreasonably limits the ability of the citizens … to govern themselves.”

In addition, the bill reduces individual rights because it “bans citizens from using state courts to remedy discrimination”

Nic Haag, Libertarian candidate for NC Senate 44, introduced the resolution. It was endorsed by General Assembly candidates Brad Hessel, NC Senate 15, Brian Irving, NC House 36, and Rob Rose, NC 37.

The convention was held in Raleigh last weekend.

The convention also passed a resolution calling for the repeal of the ban on counting write-in votes. The state does not count the votes for persons who haven’t gathered enough petition signatures.

This “amounts to the legislature picking and choosing which votes to count, sometimes yielding suspicious results like unanimous vote tallies in our statewide elections,” the resolutions says.

Six candidates for the Libertarian presidential nomination participated in a forum Saturday. They included former New Mexico governor Gary Johnson, the party’s 2012 standard-bearer.

In other business, the convention elected at-large members to the state executive committee and adopted a revised platform. It also selected delegates to the Libertarian National Convention and nominated presidential electors.

Read the resolutions here.

Let the People Choose Who Represents Them

Once again, North Carolina’s elections are under a cloud. A U.S. District Court panel just ruled two Congressional districts unconstitutional.

The people of North Carolina deserve a process where they choose their representatives, not the other way around. When it reconvenes in April, the state House should immediately consider and bring to a vote House Bill 92 to establish a nonpartisan redistricting process.

Under this bill, the redistricting plan would be drawn up by a legislative office and submitted to the legislature for an up or down vote. It is based on the system used in Iowa successfully for years.

For decades, North Carolina has had the most litigated redistricting process in the nation. Both Democrats and Republicans put partisan politics ahead of the interests of the people. As a result, elections were delayed and representation denied.

When the Democrats controlled the process, the Republicans cried foul and challenged the plans in court. Now that Republicans are in power, they act no better. Whichever party is on top invariably acts in the same, self-serving way.

Even though only two Congressional districts were ruled unconstitutional, redrawing the lines will have a ripple effect in adjoining districts. The problem goes far beyond using race to draw lines. The process is fundamentally flawed. The people of North Carolina need and deserve better.

The state Libertarian Party supports an independent, nonpartisan, open, and transparent redistricting process. Party registration, voting history data, and the incumbent’s place of residence shouldn’t be considered when drawing district lines.

Brian Irving for NC House 36

LPNC-BumperSticker

Welcome to my blog, which will double as the website for my campaign for NC House 36. Read “Why I Am Running.” In short, I’m running because I believe the people of North Carolina can do a better job of running their lives than politicians.

You can also follow my campaign on Facebook.

Check out my stand on the Issues. Read my responses to the Surveys I’ve received.

Vote No on the Bond Boondogle

Against_the_Bond

There will be a $2 billion bond issue on the March 15 ballot called Connect NC. This is another bipartisan boondoggle with a deceptive name. The loan request is not for transportation funding or K-12 education projects.

The $2 billion will go into the “Connect NC” fund, a committee chaired by a whole host of politicians, who will divvy up 66 percent of the money to the NC college systems, and hundreds of millions of dollars to parks, zoos, agricultural “research,” and other political pet projects across the state.

The only thing this bond will connect is your wallet to the special interest groups that support it. As with most programs touted as bipartisan, the more bipartisan support a bill has, the worse it is for your liberty and your well-being.

Bonds are just deferred taxes. They are taxes on our children and grandchildren. It is simply a lie that this bond issue will not result in a raise in taxes. Someone will have to pay for the the interest when the bonds are repaid, and you can bet it won’t be the Democrats and Republican legislators, or the lobbyists and special interest groups who support this bill.

Since tyranny is usually better organized – and funded – than liberty, the effort to promote this bipartisan boondoggle program to increase the debt is well funded by special interest groups.

But a grassroots referendum committee, NC Against the Bond, is organizing a petition drive to oppose this debt increase. Go to AgainstTheBond.com and sign the petition to oppose this debt increase. Follow them on Facebook.

Vote no on the bond issue in March.

Restrictive Ballot Access Laws Disenfranchise Voters

North Carolina will continue its tradition of unopposed elections in 2016. Seventy-two General Assembly candidates were either “elected” at the close of filing Dec. 21 or will be elected in the March primary. So in November nearly half of North Carolina voters will no choice about who represents them in Raleigh.

While it’s true gerrymandering is a cause, there’s another more significant reason – highly restrictive ballot access laws. It’s very difficult for a party – other than the Democrats or Republicans – to get on the ballot. It’s nearly impossible for independent candidates to do so.

These high barriers to ballot access thus effectively disenfranchise nearly a third of North Carolina voters, the unaffiliated, the fastest growing voter block.

Most voters don’t realize how the establishment parties manipulate the system through gerrymandering and restrictive ballot access. To qualify for the ballot a “new” party must collect in excess of 90,000 signatures. To run for statewide office without a party label you must hurdle the same barrier. Anyone who wants to challenge an unopposed incumbent in a legislative district or local office, needs to collect anywhere from 2,000 to 20,000 signatures from registered voters.

It’s not gerrymandering, voter IDs, or early voting limitations that disenfranchises NC voters. It’s our ballot access lockout.

From the Echoes of 1776: A Monetary Revolution Is Coming

by Stefan Gleason

Is America on the cusp of a revolution that will usher in a new monetary order? The lessons of history tell us that no fiat currency retains its value for long or lasts forever. And as Shakespeare noted, “what’s past is prologue.”

Major episodes in monetary history often stem from political revolutions. Just as there are boom-bust economic cycles, there are cycles of optimism pessimism that drive cultural, geopolitical, and war cycles. American history reflects the ebbs and flows in social sentiment.

The Founders wrote gold and silver into the Constitution as legal tender. They did so not because the American Revolution was financed with sound money – quite the opposite. The Founders were keenly aware of the dangers of unbacked paper money because the Continental Congress printed huge volumes of it to pay for the Revolutionary war.

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Libertarians To Host Only Presidential Debate in NC

The Libertarian Party of North Carolina will host the only presidential debate scheduled in North Carolina. It is set for March 7 from 9 to 10:30 p.m. EST and will be webcast on Google Hangouts On Air. The debate will feature candidates for the Libertarian presidential nomination.

Carolina Journal Associate Editor Barry Smith will moderate the debate from a location in Raleigh. Candidate will participate from locations across the nation.

“We’re excited to be hosting a virtual debate with our candidates for president so that the public can see and hear their views on the critical issues neither the Democrats nor Republican candidates and parties will address,” said J.J. Summerell, state party chair.

“We especially encourage the 25 percent of North Carolina voters registered unaffiliated to watch, as well as independents across this nation,” he added. “National polls show that a vast majority of Americans want a choice outside the old parties. The Libertarian Party offers that choice.”

The debate will be held one week prior to North Carolina’s March 15 Presidential Primary. Participants in the debate will be selected by online poll conducted by the LPNC from a list of a candidates who will appear on the March 15 Presidential Primary ballot.

Those candidates are: Marc Feldman of Ohio; John Hale of Kentucky; Cecil Ince of Missouri, Gary Johnson of New Mexico; Steven Kerbel of Colorado; Darryl W. Perry of New Hampshire; Austin Petersen of Missouri, Derrick Reid of California; Jack Robinson of South Carolina; Rhett Smith of Texas, and; Joy Waymire of California.

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