Two major wins for the Libertarian Party in 2012

Thank you to all those who supported my Congressional run. I’m pleased with the result,but somewhat surprised that Rep. Renee Ellmers was re-elected by such a large margin. I was hoping that whichever of the major party candidates won, my vote would be the margin of difference.

It’s strange (but not surprising) that, despite all the Republicans and Tea Party types who told me how disappointed they were with Ellmers, they closed ranks and voted for the Red Team anyway.

My election prognostications were only half right; President Barack Obama did get a majority of the electoral votes, but he also received a plurality of the popular vote, but just barely. There really wasn’t a change for an Electoral College tie.

The major news for 2012, however, is that the Libertarians scored two major victories.

First, in North Carolina Barbara Howe got two percent of the vote for governor, thus securing the party’s ballot access for another four years.

Second, Gov. Gary Johnson achieved an historic one million votes for president, beating the 32-year old record of 921,128 set y Ed Clark in 1980.  As of this writing Google had Johnson at 1,139,562, more than double that of the 2008 ticket of Bob Barr and Wayne Root. Barr and Root are no longer Libertarians, by the way.

North Carolina has arguable the most restrictive ballot access laws in the nations. Howe’s achievement marks the second time the LPNC has kept its ballot access status through the voting process. Dr. Mike Munger did it first in 2008.

This will save the LPNC a boat-load of money, time and other resources. That means we’ll be able to go into the 2014 and 2016 elections not only without having to exhaust all our resources just to get to the starting line, but with a ample resources to fill the ballot with Libertarian candidates who’ll be able to run competitive races.

More information:

N.C. Libertarian Candidate Results

N.C. State Board of Elections Results Summary

See Google Election Results

Election predictions

The good news about the 2012 election is that it appears there may be a record turn-out. Unfortunately, since American voter turnout is so abysmally in the first place, that’s not saying much. I doubt we’ll approach the 80-90 percent voter turnout rate common in other democratic countries, even in those countries the United States has “made” democracies.

The bad news is that if you think the election will be over tomorrow, think again. I’m no political expert, but here are my predictions for 2012. I think President Barack Obama will be re-elected with a majority of the electoral vote – but Gov. Mitt Romney will get the plurality in the popular vote. This will send the Republicans into legal hysteria to rival that of the Democrats in the 2000 election.

And no one on Fox News will bat any eye when the GOP resorts to the same legalistic, obstructionist, word-parsing antics the Democrats engaged in in 2000. They’ll challenge the vote in every single state where it’s close, claiming “voter fraud,” “voter suppression,” or any other excuse they can come up with.

And the election could wind up being decided, probably wrongly again, by the U.S. Supreme Court.

In North Carolina, I predict that not only will Barbara Howe get more than two percent of the vote, thus keeping the Libertarian Party on the ballot, but Gov. Gary Johnson will earn enough votes to be the margin of difference between Romney and Obama, to Romney’s detriment.

This will inevitable lead to Republicans claiming that Romney “lost” the state because of Johnson. But I also predict that exit polls and post-election analysis will point out that Johnson will have earned the votes of both liberals and conservatives, Democrats and Republicans,and many unaffiliated voters. Of course, the Republicans won’t let the facts get in the way.

On the other hand, if the presidential vote goes the other way, I’m sure the Democrats will make the same charge they “lost” the state because of the Libertarians, since the won’t be able to blame the Greens who are not on the ballot.

Another scenario some experts have discussed, and one which I really like, postulates the possibility of an Electoral College tie. It is possible. This would mean that, under the U.S. Constitution, the newly elected U.S. House of Representatives will select the president, voting by states; and the new U.S. Senate will select the vice president.

Assuming things go as expected, that would mean a Republican-controlled U.S. House electing Mitt Romney president, and a Democratic-controlled U.S.Senate re-electing Joe Biden vice president.

What I like about this scenario is that it would initiate (maybe ignite is a better word) a debate on abolishing the Electoral College. It may be possible, once the hysterical rhetoric, illogical and unreasonable arguments are dispensed with, to actually educate Americans about how the Electoral College came to be, and why it is a good thing.

The Pilot critiques the Republican, endorses the Democrat – and ignores the Libertarian

The Pilot in Southern Pines had endorsed Steve Wilkins, my Democratic opponent in the 2nd Congressional District. They have a problem with Republican incumbent Renee Ellmers for not campaigning in Moore County.

But I had to point out to them that they are guilty of ignoring one of the candidates in the race – me.

Here is what I wrote in a letter-to-the-editor:

Unlike Rep. Renee Ellmers, I have visited Moore County several times during the campaign. I even had the pleasure of sharing the stage with Steve Wilkins at the Moore County League of Women Voters Forum.

But just as Rep. Ellmers has apparently ignored several parts of her new district, The Pilot apparently has chosen to ignore coverage of my candidacy, Although I thank you for using excerpts from my campaign website (LibertyPoint.org) in an article, you did not give me the courtesy of actually contacting me for an interview, which I deeply regret.

As a candidate who doesn’t solicit, receive or accept donations from businesses, special interest groups or political action committees, I rely completely on invitations to public forums from civic groups, and the journalistic integrity of most newspapers, and radio and TV stations to cover the story fairly and completely in order to get my message out to voters.

Hopefully in the future The Pilot will give fair and equal treatment to all candidates on the ballot so that the voters in Moore County can get the information they need to make an informed decision in the voting booth.

Let’s see if it gets printed or posted online.

Muslim Public Affairs Council endorsement

I did not expect to get an endorsement from any N.C. group. So I’m honored to have earned the endorsement of the Raleigh chapter of the Muslim Public Affairs Council. Here is the email I received:

Dear Mr. Irving,

I am pleased to inform you that the Muslim American Public Affairs Council (MAPAC) has sent its endorsement of your candidacy to its members and supporters. The endorsement was sent out in time to reach those who have voted early.

Congratulations on your securing the MAPAC endorsement and the best of luck in the upcoming election.

Sincerely,

Ford Chambliss
MAPAC Board of Trustees

N.C. No. 2 in gerrymandering

North Carolina is No. 2 in a national ranking – in gerrymandering. And it has the most gerrymandered U.S. House district in the nation, District 12.

Read this item in Under the Dome, the News & Observer political column:

Azavea, a firm that applies mapping software GIS in online media, updated a previous report that uses four geographical measures of compactness for every Congressional district in the country, and by the group’s estimate, N.C.’s 12th District is literally the worst in the country.

The report also ranks U.S. House District 4 as the sixth worst gerrymandered in the nation. The district, which I think resembles a map of Viet Nam, actually splits U.S. House District 2. At one point District 4 literally runs down the Cape Fear River. I think it’s safe to say very few people live in the river.

News & Observer prints my letter

The News & Observer did print my letter-to-the-editor (edited) about their non-endorsement op ed of a candidate in the 2nd Congressional District. (See previous post)

Thank you N&O.

Today I attended another candidate forum, sponsored by the Cary Chamber of Commerce. Once again Republican incumbent Renee Ellmers was a no-show. Democrat Steve Wilkins was there, as has been his practiced, even though he also had an appointment at WRAL-TV to tape a segment. That’s the excuse Rep. Ellmers gave for not appearing.

Of course, WRAL did not invite me, nor have they returned my phone calls asking for an explanation.

George McGovern is dead

George McGovern, the Democratic Party’s last anti-war candidate, died today. Sadly, McGovern’s obits will focus on his disastrous 1972 bid for the White House, when he only got 17 electoral votes, and not his anti-war activism. Libertarian author David Boaz wrote this tribute.

Nick Gillespie eulogies George McGovern, Libertarian Hero on Bloomberg.com

In the news

Thanks to Adam Brooks for this link to an article in the Archdale-Trinity News reporting on three Libertarians who attended the Chamber of Commerce candidate forum.

The Raleigh Public Record published my responses to their candidate questionnaire.

The Daily Haymaker reports on the Moore County League of Women Voter’s Candidate Forum.

Independent Weekly candidate questionnaire. They only endorsed Democratic candidates.

In the Grass Roots North Carolina candidate evaluations I scored 98 to Republican incumbent Renee Ellmers 87, we both got 4 stars, but in keeping with the GRNC’s usual practice, they endorsed her. Congrats to fellow Libertarian Daryl Holman in CD1 who actually did get a GRNC endorsement.

Not much about me in this Fayetteville Observer story, but at least my name was in the lead.

The Pilot in Southern Pines printed this voting guide produced by the Moore County League of Women Voters.

WRAL.com has a My Ballot page on their website, with videos from only the major party candidates.

And finally, although the News & Observer did not mention me at all in their editorial “non-endorsement” of any candidate in the CD2 race, they did include me in both their online and in-print voter guide. Of course, that’s because the guides were produced by the truly nonpartisan and objective N.C. Center for Voter Education.

News & Observer non-endorsement

The News & Observer did not endorse any candidate in the 2nd Congressional district — but neither did they mention me at all in the editorial. Here is what I wrote them and posted as a comment online:

N&O editorial writers should do more thorough research, or at least read the N&Os own online voter guide, so they have complete information on the races before writing their editorial candidate endorsements. They apparently couldn’t find enough difference between two of the candidates in the 2nd Congressional District to endorse either.

Perhaps this was because they were unaware there’s a third candidate in the race, Libertarian Brian Irving. Either that or they deliberately ignored the fact because they would have had to let readers know there was candidate with significantly different, some would say radical, views. And that might have made their non-endorsement more difficult.

Or this oversight simply could be in keeping with the paper’s apparent policy to completely ignore Libertarian candidates altogether. In three full-page stories, the N&O has made an excruciating attempt to report on the supposed differences between the Democratic and Republican gubernatorial candidates without evening mentioning Libertarian Barbara Howe.

Journalistic integrity demands, and North Carolina voters deserve, better, fairer and more complete reporting.

As a P.S. I know the N&O company knows I’m running because I received a solicitation to purchase advertising.

WEEB interview tomorrow

I’m looking forward to being a guest on WEEB AM 990 radio tomorrow from 8:40-9 a.m. on the Morning Show with Steve Leader and Aaron Regan. The talk station covers a large portion of the Sandhills and all of Congressional District 2. This will be a great opportunity. You can listen online here.